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Data Analysis
We analyse team statistics, recent form, scoring and defensive trends, home and away performance and available match information.
Italy Over/Under Predictions
How Over/Under Predictions Work
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Probability Model
Our model estimates the probability that the match total finishes above or below selected goal lines such as 1.5 and 2.5.
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Prediction Rating
From Game 3 onward, Rating follows the last-6 PPG gap: Low at 0.00–0.75, Normal at 0.76–1.49, High at 1.50–1.99, and Very High at 2.00+. A 0.00–0.24 gap predicts Draw; 0.25–0.49 uses Double Chance; 0.50–0.75 predicts the higher-PPG team to win. Games 1–2 use the published early-game Rating.
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Smart Betting
Use model analysis, Rating, form and available odds together to make informed decisions. No prediction should be treated as guaranteed.