Vila Nova come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 54.5%. They are averaging 1.39 goals per match and conceding 0.94.
Gremio Novorizontino currently have a 51.5% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.79 goals per match and conceding 0.85.
The model gives Vila Nova the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 4.16 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

