Newport County come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 23.1%. They are averaging 1.23 goals per match and conceding 1.23.
Chesterfield currently have a 38.5% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.77 goals per match and conceding 1.31.
The model gives Newport County the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.83 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
