Derby County come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 12.5%. They are averaging 0.88 goals per match and conceding 1.75.
Wrexham currently have a 25% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.13 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The model gives Derby County the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
