Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Derry City come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 29.4%. They are averaging 1.35 goals per match and conceding 1.29.
Dundalk currently have a 29.4% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.65.
The model gives Derry City the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.66 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Derry City sit 1 place above Dundalk. Both teams are level on points.
Derry City and Dundalk have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Derry City have recorded 1 win, Dundalk have recorded 1, with 2 draws. These meetings have averaged 4.25 goals, while BTTS has landed in 100% of the available fixtures.