Wales come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 20%. They are averaging 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Portugal currently have a 80% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
The model gives Wales the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

