BV De Graafschap come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 16.7%. They are averaging 1.17 goals per match and conceding 3.00.
NAC Breda currently have a 33.3% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.83 goals per match and conceding 2.33.
The model gives BV De Graafschap the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 4.50 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

