Burnley come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 33.3%. They are averaging 1.33 goals per match and conceding 1.89.
Arsenal currently have a 77.8% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.78 goals per match and conceding 0.33.
The model gives Burnley the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 1.66 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
