Draw carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Belgium come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 60%. They are averaging 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Italy currently have a 60% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
The model gives Belgium the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.80 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Italy sit 1 place above Belgium. Both teams are level on points.
Belgium and Italy have met 1 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Belgium have recorded 1 win, Italy have recorded 0, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.00 goals, while BTTS has landed in 0% of the available fixtures.