Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Chelsea come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 40%. They are averaging 2.00 goals per match and conceding 2.40.
AFC Bournemouth currently have a 0% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
The model gives Chelsea the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Chelsea sit 7 places above AFC Bournemouth. Chelsea hold a 4-point advantage.
Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Chelsea have recorded 1 win, AFC Bournemouth have recorded 0, with 3 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.25 goals, while BTTS has landed in 50% of the available fixtures.