Port Vale come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 14.3%. They are averaging 0.43 goals per match and conceding 1.29.
Grimsby Town currently have a 33.3% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.44 goals per match and conceding 1.11.
The model gives Port Vale the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.16 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

