Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
AFC Ajax come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 60%. They are averaging 2.90 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Alkmaar Zaanstreek currently have a 60% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
The model gives AFC Ajax the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.66 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Alkmaar Zaanstreek sit 4 places above AFC Ajax. Alkmaar Zaanstreek hold a 5-point advantage.
AFC Ajax and Alkmaar Zaanstreek have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. AFC Ajax have recorded 0 wins, Alkmaar Zaanstreek have recorded 2, with 2 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.75 goals, while BTTS has landed in 75% of the available fixtures.