Draw carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Rayo Vallecano come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 28.6%. They are averaging 1.57 goals per match and conceding 2.29.
Athletic Club Bilbao currently have a 33.3% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.17 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
The model gives Rayo Vallecano the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.66 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Athletic Club Bilbao sit 2 places above Rayo Vallecano. Both teams are level on points.
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Rayo Vallecano have recorded 0 wins, Athletic Club Bilbao have recorded 3, with 1 draw. These meetings have averaged 2.50 goals, while BTTS has landed in 75% of the available fixtures.