Stevenage come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 40%. They are averaging 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Milton Keynes Dons currently have a 10% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.80.
The model gives Stevenage the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

