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International UEFA Nations LeagueMonday, 5 October 2026
Italy
Italy
VS19:45
Turkey
Turkey

Italy vs Turkey Prediction, Betting Tips, Stats and Odds | 05 Oct 2026

Italy welcome Turkey in the International UEFA Nations League on Monday, 5 October 2026, with our model identifying Home Win as the strongest prediction for this fixture.

International UEFA Nations League•Monday, 5 October 2026•Kick-off 19:45•2026/27•Round 4
Best Prediction
Our Best Bet

Home Win

Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.

Market Odds
11.48
X4.80
26.00
RatingMedium
Match Predictions
1X2Italy
11.48
X4.80
26.00
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5
Over1.50
Under2.55
BTTSYes
Yes1.73
No2.10
Correct Score1-0
11.48
X4.80
26.00
Italy vs Turkey Preview

Italy come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 33.3%. They are averaging 1.67 goals per match and conceding 1.33.

Turkey currently have a 0% season win rate, scoring an average of 0.33 goals per match and conceding 2.67.

The model gives Italy the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 1.33 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

Recent Form
Italy

Italy — Last Results

International UEFA Nations League · Last 5 · All
02 Oct 2026
France1 - 1Italy
International UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026
Turkey1 - 4Italy
International UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026
Italy0 - 2Belgium
International UEFA Nations League
1Wins33.3%
1Draws33.3%
1Losses33.3%
DWL
Played3
Goals / Match1.67
Conceded / Match1.33
BTTS66.7%
Over 2.533.3%
Clean Sheets0%
Turkey

Turkey — Last Results

International UEFA Nations League · Last 5 · All
02 Oct 2026
Belgium3 - 0Turkey
International UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026
Turkey1 - 4Italy
International UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026
Turkey0 - 1France
International UEFA Nations League
0Wins0%
0Draws0%
3Losses100%
LLL
Played3
Goals / Match0.33
Conceded / Match2.67
BTTS33.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Clean Sheets0%
League Table
International UEFA Nations League

International UEFA Nations League

2026/27
Current Standings
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13
Italy
ItalyHome team
00000000
20
Turkey
TurkeyAway team
00000000

Italy sit 7 places above Turkey. Both teams are level on points.

Head-to-Head

Italy vs Turkey

Recent Meetings · All Venues
28 Sept 2026
Turkey1 - 4Italy
International UEFA Nations League
1Italy Wins100%
0Draws0%
0Turkey Wins0%
Played1
Avg Goals5.00
BTTS100%
Over 2.5100%

Italy Have Won 1 of 1 Selected Meetings

Italy and Turkey have met 1 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Italy have recorded 1 win, Turkey have recorded 0, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 5.00 goals, while BTTS has landed in 100% of the available fixtures.

Match Guide

Italy vs Turkey Prediction & Match Analysis

BetGenuine provides data-driven Italy vs Turkey predictions, betting tips and match statistics for this International UEFA Nations League fixture. Our analysis combines current form, home and away performance, scoring trends, defensive records, head-to-head data and probability-based predictions.

The statistics shown on this page are based on available historical data and 2026/27 season information recorded before this fixture.

Italy vs Turkey Prediction

The BetGenuine prediction model evaluates available team and fixture data to estimate probabilities across 1X2, goals, BTTS and other supported football prediction markets.

Recent Form & Team Statistics

Compare Italy and Turkey using recent results, wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, clean sheets, BTTS, Over 2.5 . Form can also be viewed by competition, period and venue.

Italy vs TurkeyHead-to-Head

Historical meetings between Italy and Turkey provide additional context on previous results, goals, BTTS and match trends. Recent and available historical meetings can also be filtered by venue.

International UEFA Nations LeagueLeague Table

The league table provides current 2026/27 context for Italy and Turkey, including position, matches played, wins, draws, losses, goals, goal difference and points.

Understanding the Match Statistics

1X2Estimated probability of a home win, draw or away win.
BTTSBoth Teams to Score probability or historical scoring rate.
O2.5Matches or predictions involving three or more total goals.
xGExpected-goals estimate for each team based on available model data.
CSClean-sheet rate — matches where a team conceded no goals.

How to Read This Match Prediction

Start with the main match prediction and probability, then compare Italy and Turkey's recent form, home and away records and league position. Head-to-head statistics can provide additional historical context, while goals, BTTS and match data help assess individual prediction markets.

No single statistic should be considered in isolation. Sample size, competition, venue, team selection and recent performance should all be considered when interpreting football prediction data.

Important: Football predictions are statistical estimates based on available data. Match outcomes can be affected by injuries, suspensions, team selection, tactical changes, red cards and other events that cannot always be predicted in advance.
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