Draw or Arsenal carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Liverpool come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 50%. They are averaging 1.38 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Arsenal currently have a 87.5% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per match and conceding 0.63.
The model gives Liverpool the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 4.67 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Arsenal sit 4 places above Liverpool. Arsenal hold a 3-point advantage.
Liverpool and Arsenal have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Liverpool have recorded 1 win, Arsenal have recorded 0, with 3 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.25 goals, while BTTS has landed in 50% of the available fixtures.