Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Real Madrid CF come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 71.4%. They are averaging 2.57 goals per match and conceding 1.14.
Villarreal CF currently have a 28.6% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.86 goals per match and conceding 1.71.
The model gives Real Madrid CF the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.17 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Real Madrid CF sit 5 places above Villarreal CF. Real Madrid CF hold a 7-point advantage.
Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Real Madrid CF have recorded 4 wins, Villarreal CF have recorded 0, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.75 goals, while BTTS has landed in 50% of the available fixtures.