Italy come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 33.3%. They are averaging 1.67 goals per match and conceding 1.33.
Turkey currently have a 0% season win rate, scoring an average of 0.33 goals per match and conceding 2.67.
The model gives Italy the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 1.33 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

