Iraq come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 33.3%. They are averaging 0.67 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Lebanon currently have a 50% season win rate, scoring an average of 3.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The model gives Iraq the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.83 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

