Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
England come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 75%. They are averaging 3.50 goals per match and conceding 0.75.
Croatia currently have a 25% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 3.50.
The model gives England the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
England sit 7 places above Croatia. Both teams are level on points.
England and Croatia have met 3 times in this selected head-to-head sample. England have recorded 2 wins, Croatia have recorded 1, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 5.33 goals, while BTTS has landed in 66.7% of the available fixtures.