Derby County come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 7.7%. They are averaging 0.77 goals per match and conceding 1.92.
Bolton Wanderers currently have a 35.7% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.36 goals per match and conceding 1.86.
The model gives Derby County the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 1.67 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
