Greenock Morton come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 18.2%. They are averaging 0.82 goals per match and conceding 1.64.
Ayr United currently have a 27.3% season win rate, scoring an average of 0.91 goals per match and conceding 1.09.
The model gives Greenock Morton the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.17 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

