Derby County come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 11.1%. They are averaging 0.89 goals per match and conceding 1.67.
Stoke City currently have a 50% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
The model gives Derby County the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
