Away Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Aston Villa come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 28.6%. They are averaging 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.57.
Manchester City currently have a 100% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.71 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
The model gives Aston Villa the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 4.33 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Manchester City sit 15 places above Aston Villa. Manchester City hold a 11-point advantage.
Aston Villa and Manchester City have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Aston Villa have recorded 3 wins, Manchester City have recorded 1, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.50 goals, while BTTS has landed in 75% of the available fixtures.