Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Arsenal come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 85.7%. They are averaging 1.57 goals per match and conceding 0.71.
Everton currently have a 28.6% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.14 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
The model gives Arsenal the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.67 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Arsenal sit 5 places above Everton. Arsenal hold a 3-point advantage.
Arsenal and Everton have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Arsenal have recorded 2 wins, Everton have recorded 0, with 2 draws. These meetings have averaged 1.25 goals, while BTTS has landed in 25% of the available fixtures.