Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Newcastle United come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 33.3%. They are averaging 1.67 goals per match and conceding 2.17.
Aston Villa currently have a 16.7% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.83.
The model gives Newcastle United the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.16 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Newcastle United sit 7 places above Aston Villa. Newcastle United hold a 4-point advantage.
Newcastle United and Aston Villa have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Newcastle United have recorded 1 win, Aston Villa have recorded 2, with 1 draw. These meetings have averaged 2.50 goals, while BTTS has landed in 25% of the available fixtures.