Modena come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 66.7%. They are averaging 1.89 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Mantova currently have a 55.6% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.56 goals per match and conceding 1.11.
The model gives Modena the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.84 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
