Alverca come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 37.5%. They are averaging 1.63 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
FC Arouca currently have a 50% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.38 goals per match and conceding 0.88.
The model gives Alverca the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

