AD Pasto come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 36.4%. They are averaging 1.15 goals per match and conceding 1.39.
Alianza Petrolera currently have a 18.8% season win rate, scoring an average of 0.84 goals per match and conceding 1.66.
The model gives AD Pasto the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.00 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

