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Premier LeagueSunday, 11 October 2026
Liverpool
Liverpool
VS16:30
Manchester City
Manchester City

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Stats and Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Liverpool welcome Manchester City in the Premier League on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with our model identifying Away Win as the strongest prediction for this fixture.

Premier League•Sunday, 11 October 2026•Kick-off 16:30•2026/27•Round 6
Best Prediction
Our Best Bet

Away Win

Away Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.

Market Odds
12.62
X3.50
22.50
RatingMedium
Match Predictions
1X2Manchester City
12.62
X3.50
22.50
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5
Over1.57
Under2.33
BTTSYes
Yes1.46
No2.56
Correct Score2-3
12.62
X3.50
22.50
Liverpool vs Manchester City Preview

Liverpool come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 40%. They are averaging 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Manchester City currently have a 100% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

The model gives Liverpool the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 4.80 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

Recent Form
Liverpool

Liverpool — Last Results

Premier League · Last 5 · All
20 Sept 2026
AFC Bournemouth0 - 1Liverpool
Premier League
12 Sept 2026
Liverpool0 - 0Fulham
Premier League
04 Sept 2026
Ipswich Town0 - 2Liverpool
Premier League
29 Aug 2026
Liverpool2 - 2Nottingham Forest
Premier League
23 Aug 2026
Newcastle United2 - 2Liverpool
Premier League
2Wins40%
3Draws60%
0Losses0%
WDWDD
Played5
Goals / Match1.40
Conceded / Match0.80
BTTS40%
Over 2.540%
Clean Sheets60%
Manchester City

Manchester City — Last Results

Premier League · Last 5 · All
20 Sept 2026
Manchester City5 - 3Sunderland
Premier League
13 Sept 2026
Manchester United0 - 1Manchester City
Premier League
05 Sept 2026
Manchester City1 - 0Coventry City
Premier League
28 Aug 2026
Crystal Palace1 - 4Manchester City
Premier League
23 Aug 2026
Manchester City2 - 1AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
5Wins100%
0Draws0%
0Losses0%
WWWWW
Played5
Goals / Match2.60
Conceded / Match1.00
BTTS60%
Over 2.560%
Clean Sheets40%
League Table
Premier League

Premier League

2026/27
Current Standings
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1
Manchester City
Manchester CityAway team
5500135+815
6
Liverpool
LiverpoolHome team
523074+39

Manchester City sit 5 places above Liverpool. Manchester City hold a 6-point advantage.

Head-to-Head

Liverpool vs Manchester City

Recent Meetings · All Venues
08 Feb 2026
Liverpool1 - 2Manchester City
Premier League
09 Nov 2025
Manchester City3 - 0Liverpool
Premier League
23 Feb 2025
Manchester City0 - 2Liverpool
Premier League
01 Dec 2024
Liverpool2 - 0Manchester City
Premier League
2Liverpool Wins50%
0Draws0%
2Manchester City Wins50%
Played4
Avg Goals2.50
BTTS25%
Over 2.550%

Liverpool and Manchester City Are Even Across 4 Selected Meetings

Liverpool and Manchester City have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Liverpool have recorded 2 wins, Manchester City have recorded 2, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.50 goals, while BTTS has landed in 25% of the available fixtures.

Match Guide

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

BetGenuine provides data-driven Liverpool vs Manchester City predictions, betting tips and match statistics for this Premier League fixture. Our analysis combines current form, home and away performance, scoring trends, defensive records, head-to-head data and probability-based predictions.

The statistics shown on this page are based on available historical data and 2026/27 season information recorded before this fixture.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction

The BetGenuine prediction model evaluates available team and fixture data to estimate probabilities across 1X2, goals, BTTS and other supported football prediction markets.

Recent Form & Team Statistics

Compare Liverpool and Manchester City using recent results, wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, clean sheets, BTTS, Over 2.5 . Form can also be viewed by competition, period and venue.

Liverpool vs Manchester CityHead-to-Head

Historical meetings between Liverpool and Manchester City provide additional context on previous results, goals, BTTS and match trends. Recent and available historical meetings can also be filtered by venue.

Premier LeagueLeague Table

The league table provides current 2026/27 context for Liverpool and Manchester City, including position, matches played, wins, draws, losses, goals, goal difference and points.

Understanding the Match Statistics

1X2Estimated probability of a home win, draw or away win.
BTTSBoth Teams to Score probability or historical scoring rate.
O2.5Matches or predictions involving three or more total goals.
xGExpected-goals estimate for each team based on available model data.
CSClean-sheet rate — matches where a team conceded no goals.

How to Read This Match Prediction

Start with the main match prediction and probability, then compare Liverpool and Manchester City's recent form, home and away records and league position. Head-to-head statistics can provide additional historical context, while goals, BTTS and match data help assess individual prediction markets.

No single statistic should be considered in isolation. Sample size, competition, venue, team selection and recent performance should all be considered when interpreting football prediction data.

Important: Football predictions are statistical estimates based on available data. Match outcomes can be affected by injuries, suspensions, team selection, tactical changes, red cards and other events that cannot always be predicted in advance.
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