Aston Villa come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 20%. They are averaging 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.80.
Brentford currently have a 40% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
The model gives Aston Villa the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.60 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

