Deportivo Independiente Medellin come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 40%. They are averaging 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.37.
Alianza Petrolera currently have a 22.9% season win rate, scoring an average of 0.83 goals per match and conceding 1.54.
The model gives Deportivo Independiente Medellin the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 2.34 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

