Home Win carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.
Brentford come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 25%. They are averaging 1.75 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Chelsea currently have a 50% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 2.25.
The model gives Brentford the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.75 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.
Brentford sit 6 places above Chelsea. Brentford hold a 2-point advantage.
Brentford and Chelsea have met 4 times in this selected head-to-head sample. Brentford have recorded 0 wins, Chelsea have recorded 2, with 2 draws. These meetings have averaged 2.25 goals, while BTTS has landed in 50% of the available fixtures.