France come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 100%. They are averaging 1.00 goals per match and conceding 0.00.
Italy currently have a 50% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The model gives France the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 4.50 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

