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USA USL ChampionshipSunday, 27 September 2026
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
0–265'
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, Betting Tips, Stats and Odds | 27 Sept 2026

New Mexico United welcome Sacramento Republic in the USA USL Championship on Sunday, 27 September 2026, with our model identifying Draw as the strongest prediction for this fixture.

USA USL Championship•Sunday, 27 September 2026•Kick-off 02:00•2026•Round 29
Best Prediction
Our Best Bet

Draw

Draw carries the highest model rating for this fixture. The selection is supported by the current model evidence, recent form and the available bookmaker market.

Market Odds
13.10
X3.00
22.04
RatingLow
Match Predictions
1X2Sacramento Republic
13.10
X3.00
22.04
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5
Over2.03
Under1.80
BTTSYes
Yes1.75
No1.95
Correct Score2-2
13.10
X3.00
22.04
Corners O/U 8.5—
Over1.66
Under2.04
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Preview

New Mexico United come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 50%. They are averaging 1.54 goals per match and conceding 1.13.

Sacramento Republic currently have a 37.5% season win rate, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match and conceding 0.83.

The model gives New Mexico United the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.17 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

Recent Form
New Mexico United

New Mexico United — Last Results

USA USL Championship · Last 5 · All
20 Sept 2026
Colorado Springs Switchbacks0 - 0New Mexico United
USA USL Championship
17 Sept 2026
Birmingham Legion4 - 4New Mexico United
USA USL Championship
12 Sept 2026
New Mexico United2 - 2Indy Eleven
USA USL Championship
06 Sept 2026
Las Vegas Lights1 - 2New Mexico United
USA USL Championship
30 Aug 2026
New Mexico United1 - 2San Antonio
USA USL Championship
1Wins20%
3Draws60%
1Losses20%
DDDWL
Played5
Goals / Match1.80
Conceded / Match1.80
BTTS80%
Over 2.580%
Clean Sheets20%
Corners / Match2.80
Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic — Last Results

USA USL Championship · Last 5 · All
21 Sept 2026
Sacramento Republic0 - 0San Antonio
USA USL Championship
13 Sept 2026
Sacramento Republic1 - 0Detroit City
USA USL Championship
06 Sept 2026
Orange County SC1 - 1Sacramento Republic
USA USL Championship
30 Aug 2026
Monterey Bay1 - 1Sacramento Republic
USA USL Championship
23 Aug 2026
Sacramento Republic2 - 2Phoenix Rising
USA USL Championship
1Wins20%
4Draws80%
0Losses0%
DWDDD
Played5
Goals / Match1.00
Conceded / Match0.80
BTTS60%
Over 2.520%
Clean Sheets40%
Corners / Match7.80
League Table
USA USL Championship

USA USL Championship

2026
Current Standings
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4
New Mexico United
New Mexico UnitedHome team
2412753727+1043
11
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento RepublicAway team
2491053020+1037

New Mexico United sit 7 places above Sacramento Republic. New Mexico United hold a 6-point advantage.

Head-to-Head

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic

Recent Meetings · All Venues
21 Jun 2026
Sacramento Republic0 - 1New Mexico United
USA USL Championship
1New Mexico United Wins100%
0Draws0%
0Sacramento Republic Wins0%
Played1
Avg Goals1.00
BTTS0%
Over 2.50%
Avg Corners8.00

New Mexico United Have Won 1 of 1 Selected Meetings

New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic have met 1 times in this selected head-to-head sample. New Mexico United have recorded 1 win, Sacramento Republic have recorded 0, with 0 draws. These meetings have averaged 1.00 goals, while BTTS has landed in 0% of the available fixtures.

Match Guide

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction & Match Analysis

BetGenuine provides data-driven New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic predictions, betting tips and match statistics for this USA USL Championship fixture. Our analysis combines current form, home and away performance, scoring trends, defensive records, head-to-head data and probability-based predictions.

The statistics shown on this page are based on available historical data and 2026 season information recorded before this fixture.

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

The BetGenuine prediction model evaluates available team and fixture data to estimate probabilities across 1X2, goals, BTTS and other supported football prediction markets.

Recent Form & Team Statistics

Compare New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic using recent results, wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, clean sheets, BTTS, Over 2.5 and corner statistics. Form can also be viewed by competition, period and venue.

New Mexico United vs Sacramento RepublicHead-to-Head

Historical meetings between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic provide additional context on previous results, goals, BTTS and corner trends. Recent and available historical meetings can also be filtered by venue.

USA USL ChampionshipLeague Table

The league table provides current 2026 context for New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic, including position, matches played, wins, draws, losses, goals, goal difference and points.

Understanding the Match Statistics

1X2Estimated probability of a home win, draw or away win.
BTTSBoth Teams to Score probability or historical scoring rate.
O2.5Matches or predictions involving three or more total goals.
xGExpected-goals estimate for each team based on available model data.
CSClean-sheet rate — matches where a team conceded no goals.
CornersAverage or predicted corner statistics for the fixture.

How to Read This Match Prediction

Start with the main match prediction and probability, then compare New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic's recent form, home and away records and league position. Head-to-head statistics can provide additional historical context, while goals, BTTS and corner data help assess individual prediction markets.

No single statistic should be considered in isolation. Sample size, competition, venue, team selection and recent performance should all be considered when interpreting football prediction data.

Important: Football predictions are statistical estimates based on available data. Match outcomes can be affected by injuries, suspensions, team selection, tactical changes, red cards and other events that cannot always be predicted in advance.
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