Cruz Azul come into this fixture with a current season win rate of 55.6%. They are averaging 1.78 goals per match and conceding 1.67.
Deportivo Toluca currently have a 66.7% season win rate, scoring an average of 2.22 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
The model gives Cruz Azul the stronger match-winning probability, while the projected total of 3.67 expected goals points to a fixture where both the result and goals markets require consideration.

